@themanm1445 @LastCallLawrenc Don't trust polls and prefer trend lines Make guesses on what people will do and not what they say they will do. Since Dobbs GOP gets smoked unless states like NY where abortion was already protect Arizona does have large Palestinian population why I expect West to make play
@QuietWyatt19 @CoffinItUp I find this data point quite interesting as people charged and fined for trespassing on J6. Research is still preliminary but significant financial hardship is a strong predictor in models. Did Theil/Mercer/Nix/Bannon use data to find these targets? I dunno. I think so.
@QuietWyatt19 Then next tier you get desperate grifters. @CoffinItUp done great work here. tier below Production House grifters... all so broke AF. bottom targets for radicalization. Sophisticated data tools were uaed to identify veterans and church goes susceptible for recruitment
@QuietWyatt19 already charged and State Attorney Reyes is wrapped up in it too. There are few tiers of grift. Top: Lieutenant General Flynn Bitch and his DisQruntled VIPS team plus Theil and Geisa, Stone/Caputo, Weev, Corsi Cervnovich, Posobiec, Charles Johnson, this bro, Bossie/Brown 1/2
@koutych I think polls are trash.. But do believe she is only GOP candidate who could beat Biden. Still say she loses. GOP screwed in post Dobbs world. Haven't seen a shred of evidence since Kansas to suggest otherwise
@themanm1445 I would expect to see Cornel West ballot access goals to be heaviest in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Michigan. RFK Jr will try for access in Georgia and Virginia. Possibly PA The unknowns are: -states with abortion freedom ballot intiative. -GOP candidate
@themanm1445 Technically yes, though a vote for a party is a vote for one and not a siphon off the other. But things being equal, folks would vote DNC over GOP. You gotta think in States, then counties. But they have most ballot access. Jill Stein is running after the Cornel West fiasco
@themanm1445 I haven't bought into polls since Kansas and Dobbs, really reaffirming methods that don't work anymore since 2016. But trend lines -Kansas -Missouri -Ohio -2022 mid-terms If abortion gets on ballot in Florida. It goes blue. Even without intiative new female voters through roof
@themanm1445 Relevant and atleast probable. I have been trying to track ballot access for third parties. I have deadlines but no reports on Progress.. Beyond Green Party not much access. (Libertarian don't count MAGA/Mises won't let them run anything viable)
Pedos, rapists, deadbeats, wackadoodles That is what a bunch of DisQruntled ex-employeed Intelligence types weaponized for their QAnon grift To sell a lie... About saving children from pedos..... https://t.co/dGYJajxnZS
He is a -rapist -tax cheat -Stole Classified secrets -tried to forment a coup -lead the J6 putsch and refused to stop it -money launderer -tied to Italian and Russian Mob @marcorubio says all of that... Is okay... Trump is his man. Weak sauce. https://x.com/marcorubio/status/1746629924432310551 https://t.co/UkbOlms9vg
@defnotkshepherd Had nothing to do with Covid and chain smoking... Nothing at all. This dude totes looks like a banger dating coach. https://t.co/AZHhzbaTL7
When you go matching ammosexual but hold a gun like you have never used one, it's not the flex you think it is. Also WTF is with that blue.... Murder night at the Rotary? https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1746976701698003283
As members of Texas National Guard, covered by the Uniform Code of Military Justice, stood their ground, blocking Federal Agents from saving people from drowning. Letting children drown. Just letting them drown. Let's revisit John Stanton and FAIR. https://x.com/jgmac1106/status/1736789385297690876?s=19
But Dom a community note calling you a liar would be like a community note that the sun is Yellow. Somethings normal people assume. The sun comes up. Dom lies. https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1746901317690290284